OldGrover - (Chris Rovers)

Member since November 10, 2007

Habs fan since: 1986
Favorite current player: Andrei Markov
All-time favorite player: Patrick Roy/Saku Koivu

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Recent Comments

  • Comment on Multimedia: Canadiens win 3-1 (2012-01-08 00:54:29)
    No - it uses a formula to compare the winning percentages of the teams for each game into the future, gets a percentage for each possible outcome for that game, randomly picks one using those percentages. Once it has done that for every game left to play in the entire season, that's one run for one season. It then repeats the runs a few million times, looks at all the results and uses those to calculate the chances of making the playoffs (and the chances of making any particular final position). It takes absolutely nothing into account except the winning percentages of the team as of this moment and the upcoming schedule.
  • Comment on Multimedia: Canadiens win 3-1 (2012-01-07 22:44:35)
    Chances of making the playoffs are up to 21%! Not bad, since they were barely 10% two games ago. (Monte Carlo analysis - gotta love it) http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern/Northeast/Montreal.html If Pleks, Cammi and Gionta can get rolling, this team might actually make it. And if they make it, well, anything can happen.
  • Comment on Liveblog: The Lars Eller Show (2012-01-04 23:27:01)
    Chance of making the playoffs skyrocketing! Up 7.4% to 16.7%! http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern/Northeast/Montreal.html Finally, a fun game to watch. That's really all I care about. Though winning is always more fun :)
  • Comment on Betts claimed off waivers; Woywitka on waivers; Palushaj, Blunden, Schultz to Hamilton (2011-10-05 11:57:22)
    Because clearing has nothing to do with the deal you sign - it only has to do with how old you are, how many games in the NHL you've played and similar factors. A good explanation (even if it is on a Leaf's fan site) is here : http://www.pensionplanpuppets.com/2009/11/26/1174855/waivers-101-a-guide-to-the-nhl (One way vs two way mostly just determines how much they will be paid if they are sent down - someone with a one-way NHL contract will be still paid their NHL pay even in the AHL, while someone with a two-way contract has different pay rates for each level)
  • Comment on Halpern game-time decision, Weber recalled (2010-11-18 14:22:31)

    This is the definitive resource on waivers : http://www.nhlscap.com/waivers.htm

    (well, other than reading the CBA yourself)

  • Comment on Halpern game-time decision, Weber recalled (2010-11-18 14:13:52)

    It is worth clarifying that waiver status and contract status are too different things - whether a player is on a one-way or two-way contract only has to do with money and has nothing to do with whether they can be assigned to the minors or not and nothing to do with whether they will need to clear waivers to do so.

    One way contracts just mean they get paid NHL wages whether they are in the AHL or the NHL, two way contracts have different pay rates for the different leagues.

    Waiver status has to do with a combo of # of games played in career, age, # of years in the NHL, etc, but has nothing to do with the contract. Basically, once someone has played enough in the NHL, they need to clear waivers.  This allows young players to get moved back and forth, but once someone has been established, other teams get the chance to grab 'em.

  • Comment on PuckCast, Vol. 5., No. 3 [Podcast] (2010-11-10 17:13:48)

    Yeah, some team would take a flier on a big stay at home d-man with potential - there's lots of teams with weak D and he'd get snapped up.  He'd never see Hamilton.

    I don't think loosing him for nothing is good for Montreal.

  • Comment on Single-game tickets on sale Sept. 11 (2010-08-28 13:55:53)

    I'd be pissed if Gauthier makes that signing - we've got good young forwards from our own system that need to audition for a spot.  I'd rather they be up playing than MacArthur.  I wouldn't mind an upgrade in the top 6, but, still, our top 6 beats the hell out of THEIR top 6 and we've got enough competition in our bottom 6 as it is.

     

  • Comment on Tinordi spurns Irish for Knights: report (2010-08-11 14:25:44)

    I see this all over the place - this is probably the single biggest misconception about the CBA.  The contract you sign has nothing to do with whether or not you need to sign waivers.  The only thing that determines that is a combination of your age / number of years in NHL / number of games you've played in the NHL.   One way vs two way only influences whether they have to pay you NHL numbers in the AHL.

  • Comment on Drop the puck, already! (2010-07-20 22:54:24)

    Buying out AK is crazy - someone would trade a bag of pucks for him and take a risk (a small one - his contract isn't huge compared to his potential).  Why suffer the cap hit of a buyout?