psycnerd - (Levi Riven)Member since January 16, 2010
Habs fan since: 1980
Favorite current player: Markov
All-time favorite player: Patrick Roy
- Comment on Draft Lottery set for Tuesday (2012-04-07 11:18:00)
- Comment on Draft Lottery set for Tuesday (2012-04-06 15:41:03)
This is interesting. Given this system, the higher your ranking in the draft lottery, the more likely you are to drop a position, even though it seems as though you have the best chance of "winning." Excluding the first and last two ranked teams, the most likely scenario is staying put; the next most likely scenario is moving down a position, and the least likely scenario is winning the draft. The weightings of these probabilities change depending on your position. It's all laid out in this table. Percent Chance of: Rank - Winning Lottery - Moving Down - Maintaining Position 1st - 25.00% - 51.80% - 48.20% 2nd - 18.80% - 39.20% - 42.00% 3rd - 14.20% - 29.70% - 56.10% 4th - 10.70% - 22.60% - 66.70% 5th - 8.10% - 17.20% - 74.70% 6th - 6.20% - 13.10% - 80.70% 7th - 4.70% - 9.90% - 85.40% 8th - 3.60% - 7.40% - 89.00% 9th - 2.70% - 5.50% - 91.80% 10th - 2.10% - 3.90% - 94.00% 11th - 1.50% - 2.40% - 96.10% 12th - 1.10% - 1.30% - 97.60% 13th - 0.80% - 0.50% - 98.70% 14th - 0.50% - 0.00% - 99.50%
- Comment on Canadiens sign European Dman (2011-05-13 10:15:50)
Does this mean the Yemelin deal is bust?
- Comment on The final game of 2010-’11 (2011-04-28 13:18:34)
it's sickening at this point.... NHL also equals chara
- Comment on The final game of 2010-’11 (2011-04-28 12:45:14)
5 Reasons the Habs Win Round 1 Let’s face it... this was perhaps the most tightly-matched playoff series of modern NHL history, with the favoured Bruins needing 7 games to advance against their sixth-seeded rivals – the perpetually upstaging Montreal Canadiens. The series was refreshed numerous times: after 4 games, it was the best of 3; after 6 games, it was the best of 1; and finally, after 3 periods of game 7, it was the best of 5 minutes and 43 seconds. We all know the outcome – a Bruins’ victory, ever so slight – and we all know that this could have easily ended differently. But by tomorrow, the final outcome is the only detail that will define this series for the collective consciousness, while the troubled trajectory of Boston’s victory will quickly be forgotten. Here are 5 reasons this series could have, and perhaps should have, gone the other way. 5. If this series was decided on goals for, we’d be playing a game 8. Boston and Montreal finished round-1 tied with 17 goals apiece. 4. Before game-1, the goaltending matchup was marketed as the deciding factor in this series. In the end it wasn’t, but the Habs won that battle with Carrey Price outperforming Thomas in both save percentage and goals against average. 3. Montreal’s top forward was better than Boston’s. Michael Cammalleri finishes the first round atop the NHL with 10 points in 7 games. Boston’s best – Patrice Bergeron – comes in 9th place with 7 points. 2. If the playoffs were decided by the regular season point system, Montreal too would have the edge there, obtaining a 3-1-3 record for 9 points versus Boston’s 4-3-0 record and 8 points. 1. Finally, there was no sweeter victory for Montreal than special teams. Not only did Montreal outperform Boston with the man-advantage, but their penalty kill was more offensively productive than Boston’s power play. On 21 power play opportunities for the Boston Bruins, Montreal scored once – the Bruins, never!