SteverenO - (Steve O. )

Member since March 10, 2011

Montreal
http://www.montrealapartmenthotel.com

Habs fan since: 1957
Favorite current player: David Desharnais
All-time favorite player: J.C. Tremblay

Signature:
regards, Steve O.

Recent Comments

  • Comment on Prust will be game-time decision for Habs in Tampa (with practice video) (2014-04-15 15:24:52)
    Yes Eller has played with Prust, and he has also played with Gallagher, What the has never done is plahy with both of them at the same time. My question is why now, after two full seasons and myriads of combinations are we still coming up with brand new combos? if the lines had been relatively stable most of the year, I could understand that a b it of tinkering come playoff time due to match ups, etc, would produce some new trios, It does seem a little far-fetched to believe that having not ever thought of playing these trios together for two full seasons (despite trying many dozens of combos) that all of a sudden these combos are the optimal choices. regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Prust will be game-time decision for Habs in Tampa (with practice video) (2014-04-15 15:14:29)
    You are right Paz, We want a coach who makes some decisions based on whim and instincts. but That needs to be measured with other decisions based on historical performance, and most importantly there needs to be some continuity . I doubt you will find too many players that enjoy playing with new linemates every other game and never feeling nay sense of stability. In my opinion, Therrien"s constant juggling of lines cannot be something that instills confidence in the players, or the fans, for that matter. regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Prust will be game-time decision for Habs in Tampa (with practice video) (2014-04-15 15:05:07)
    You make some good points and there is the possibility that these line combos will do very well. I just find it interesting that a NHL team is going into the post season without any sense of continuity. I also think that Briere between Weise and Bournival can be an effective line. The only point which I don"t agree with you is the familiarity issue; Swapping Eller and Plek will provide one familiar line 17-14-21, but the other line of 8-81-11 have never seen any significant time together. regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Prust will be game-time decision for Habs in Tampa (with practice video) (2014-04-15 14:50:34)
    @CJ I have always enjoyed reading your reasoned comments. Don"t be a stranger! regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Prust will be game-time decision for Habs in Tampa (with practice video) (2014-04-15 14:40:45)
    Still juggling lines, its hard to keep up; lets see if there is any history with today"s combos Bourque-Eller_Gionta -- never* played together in the last two seasons Prust -Plekanec-Gallagher - never* played together in the Past two seasons * Never= Less than 20 minutes total time together at even strength - So we have a coach who is know for juggling lines and has seeemingly tried every conceivable combination ove rthe last two seasons who has now, on the eve of the first playoff game, managed to come up with two lines that have never been together before. I guess they will develop chemistry in practice ( oops, no, the practice lines keep changing as well), or during the playtoffs. Awesome. If these combos are so "good" I wonder why they never played together during the regular season. ************************************************** reposted from last thread: based on yesterdays lines in prcatice: Yes, Pleks -Gio- Burke do have history They have played 100 Minutes together at even strength and allowed no goals but the team scored only once while this trio was on at even strength this season; Last season they played as a trio for 223 minutes (second most "steady line last season) during which they scored 8 goals while allowing 6 goals against. Their average over the last two season is one goal for every 36 minutes and one GA every 53 minutes, a pretty decent low scoring "shutdown" line. With Bourque having a terrible offensive season I do not understand why Therrien would not use his most effective line this season in the playoffs; Plek - Briere-Gionta have played 181 minutes as a trio during which time the team has scored 11 goals while only allowing one Goal against. A terrific "shut down" line that can also score goals. Eller-Prust-Gallagher: have not played together this season nor did they play together last season; (if they did it was for less than 20 minutes at even strength). As I have said before, any lineup that does NOT include the trio of Briere (LW)- Plekanec- Gionta is a huge coaching mistake. If the Habs lose the series and this line does not play together the coach should be fired as soon as they are eliminated. After making the playoffs the most important task in the regular season is to prepare for the playoffs. If the coach does not analyze the results of a season full of line juggling and utilize the trios that have proven to be the most effective when it matters most, he is, by definition, incompetent. Does anyone else find it disconcerting that the coach is still juggling lines in practice, the day before the first game of the post season? The only "line" that is not being altered is the1st wave of the PowerPlay- ust be because of how effective the line of Patches-DD-Vanek have been with the man advantage: (57 minutes played with the man advantage 2 powerplay goals scored). As a life long Habs fan, I am hoping that the team goes deep in the playoffs despite the coach"s glaring weakness. the only good thing about an early exit from the post -season is the possibility that it would lead to a coaching change. The sad part is that a lot of what Therrien brings is positive- his biggest weakness (evaluating talent and performance) is one that could easily be overcome by the hiring/deployment of a data analyst. Please note that I am not even talking about so called "advanced stats" I would be happy, and the team would do better, if they simply used good old fashioned performance metrics. ************************************************** regards, Steve O. regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Eller returns as Habs prepare to face Lightning (2014-04-15 13:48:24)
    Someone (Krob?) earlier mentioned history ....... Yes, Pleks -Gio- Burke do have history They have played 100 Minutes together at even strength and allowed no goals but the team scored only once while this trio was on at even strength this season; Last season they played as a trio for 223 minutes (second most "steady line last season) during which they scored 8 goals while allowing 6 goals against. Their average over the last two season is one goal for every 36 minutes and one GA every 53 minutes, a pretty decent low scoring "shutdown" line. With Bourque having a terrible offensive season I do not understand why Therrien would not use his most effective line this season in the playoffs; Plek - Briere-Gionta have played 181 minutes as a trio during which time the team has scored 11 goals while only allowing one Goal against. A terrific "shut down" line that can also score goals. Eller-Prust-Gallagher: have not played together this season nor did they play together last season; (if they did it was for less than 20 minutes at even strength). As I have said before, any lineup that does NOT include the trio of Briere (LW)- Plekanec- Gionta is a huge coaching mistake. If the Habs lose the series and this line does not play together the coach should be fired as soon as they are eliminated. After making the playoffs the most important task in the regular season is to prepare for the playoffs. If the coach does not analyze the results of a season full of line juggling and utilize the trios that have proven to be the most effective when it matters most, he is, by definition, incompetent. Does anyone else find it disconcerting that the coach is still juggling lines in practice, the day before the first game of the post season? The only "line" that is not being altered is the1st wave of the PowerPlay- ust be because of how effective the line of Patches-DD-Vanek have been with the man advantage: (57 minutes played with the man advantage 2 powerplay goals scored). As a life long Habs fan, I am hoping that the team goes deep in the playoffs despite the coach"s glaring weakness. the only good thing about an early exit from the post -season is the possibility that it would lead to a coaching change. The sad part is that a lot of what Therrien brings is positive- his biggest weakness (evaluating talent and performance) is one that could easily be overcome by the hiring/deployment of a data analyst. Please note that I am not even talking about so called "advanced stats" I would be happy, and the team would do better, if they simply used good old fashioned performance metrics. regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Coach Therrien gives Habs players rest before playoffs (2014-04-09 21:37:09)
    you are correct Krob, thank you for for clarifying. regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Coach Therrien gives Habs players rest before playoffs (2014-04-09 15:34:18)
    Therrien"s line combos; genius or foolish? None can argue with the 1st line of Pacioretty, Desharnais, Vanek. at even strength they have played as trio for 145 minutes during which the Habs have scored 15 goals and allowed only 9. The scoring rate of one goal every 9min:40seconds is incredible and probably cannot be sustained, but lets hope they can ride the hot streak for a while. The goals allowed rate of one GA every 16 minutes is also quite high and hopefully they will improve defensively in the playoffs. The second line that Therrien is currently running is Plekanec between the two Gallys. If Therrien is a genius this line is a "smokescreen" and come playoff time Therrien will surprise the opposition and deploy a second line of Briere / Plekanec/ Gionta. If he is foolish he will go into the playoffs with Plek and the two Gallys. here why: line combo ; ES TOI Goals scored MPGF ; Goal allowed/MPGA 27-14-11: 181 (mins) ;11 GA (16.5 MPGF) : 1 GA avg=180 MPGA 48-14-21: 105 (mins) 6 GA ( 17.5 MPGF): 4 GA avg= 26 MPGA In plain words, when Plek plays in the Gally sandwich the team has allowed goals at a rate 7 times more frequently than when Plek has played between Briere and Gionta. The offensive production is almost the same Should Therrien be a genius and go with his seasons best two way line as the number two line in the playoffs- I will hail him as a genius and believe that the team will go as far as their talent takes them in the playoff run (as for as forward lines are concerned- defense airings to be discussed in a future post). The third and 4th line could be made up as follows: 3rd line: Prust/Gally 27/ Gally 11 (Bournival if Prust cannot play. 4th Line: Bournival -Eller-Bourque ( Weise -White -Moen-Parros on standby) Personally I would not even consider the EGG line in the playoffs, while they got off to a good start, their overall numbers for the season have not been all that good: 207 minutes ES & GF and 8 GA. avg+= 29 MPGF (minutes per goal scored) and 26 MPGA. So what say you all... genius or foolish? regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Price among Habs not making trip to Chicago (with video) (2014-04-08 23:40:33)
    @ garbo, no, it has nothing to do with those two players per se, I could have just as easily used the Overall team numbers of goals scored per minute of powerplay time. The only reason I did not do that was because it would have taken longer to extract the numbers for the teams using only data from games "post trading deadline". My point was not to compare two players but the relative strength of the two teams on the Powerplay. In both case the data from the last 60 minutes of PP time (each teams number one line only) should give us a good indication of how they are performing going into the playoffs. How their respective PP"s performed prior to the trade deadline is not very relevant at this time. regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Price among Habs not making trip to Chicago (with video) (2014-04-08 22:33:05)
    No one is addressing the elephant in the room: After the recent winning streak , despite being badly "out shot and out chanced" in a number if the games, Coach Therrien claims that the team is "ready for the playoffs". The team may be ready but the PowerPlay is certainly not even close to "playoff ready" . Let look at a few numbers (not "advanced stats" no Corsi or Fenwick type stats) just old fashioned performance metrics, The best way to illustrate my point is to shine a spotlight on two players, specifically. Since joining their respective teams Callahan and Vanek have played a similar number of minutes: Even strength: Callahan 234 minutes Vanek : 202 minutes Power Play: Callahan 66 minutes Vanek: 61 minutes here is their relative performance metrics: With Callahan is on the ice the Bolts have scored 13 even strength goals allowed 10 goals against and have scored 11 PowerPlay goals; (+/-)= + 3 and a goal differential of +14 With Vanek on the ice the HABS have scored 17 even strength goals allowed 10 goals against and have scored 3 PowerPlay goals; (+/-)= + 7 and a goal differential of +10 Their averages are CALLAHAN 18 MPGF (minutes per goal for) Even Strength 6 MPGF (minutes per goal for) Power Play 23 MPGA ( miniutes per goal allowed) Even Strength VANEK 12 MPGF (minutes per goal for) Even Strength 20 MPGF (minutes per goal for) Power Play 2O MPGA ( miniutes per goal allowed) Even Strength In plain words Tampay Bay has been scoring one power play every 6 minutes, while the Habs have been scoring one every 20 minutes with their new acquisitions on the ice with the man advantage. Of course we can close our eyes and hope that things will just "get better" on their own and/or we can hope to neutralize this special teams disadvantage because we are better then Tampa on the penalty kill. however I would hope that the Habs brain trust is not actually believing that they are "ready for the playoffs". They should be working 18 hours a day analyzing power play strategies and systems until they discover something that works. It has been reported that the Bruins managed to win a cup two seasons ago despite having had almost no success on the power play and its true that (assuming the penalty kill is shutting the opponents PP down ) the team can advance through the playoffs without scoring on the PP, it will be a heck of a lot easier to win , and advance, if we can manage to actually score a goal on every third, fourth, or fifth powerplay. Personally, I don"t believe that this team (at least the way that Therrien has them lined up) can have a successful playoff run without a decent contribution from their Power Play unit. What say you all? regards, Steve O.