SteverenO - (Steve O. )

Member since March 10, 2011

Montreal
http://www.montrealapartmenthotel.com

Habs fan since: 1957
Favorite current player: David Desharnais
All-time favorite player: J.C. Tremblay

Signature:
regards, Steve O.

Recent Comments

  • Comment on Habs vs. Kings preview: L.A. fighting for a playoff spot (2015-03-05 13:09:33)
    @ HAbs 001, not only is it meaningless, it s likely not even factual. Had the poster gone to the trouble to provide evidence (which in my opinion does not exist) we could perhaps analyze it. Playing with 4 players versus 5 players in the NHL is ALWAYS difficult, regardless of who the "5" are. To claim that the "first" penalty killers are always matched up against the first wave of the PP is simply erroneous, The penalty killers, especially the forwards will (almost) always change every time the puck is cleared while the attacking forwards usually change only once per powerplay. The numbers indicate that when Eller is on the ice the Habs are significantly more likely to "clear the zone" allowing the forwards to rotate then they are when Malhotra is on the ice. What is meaningful, actually incredible to me, is that some people believe that Therrien has the ability to "see past the numbers" and mentally calculate that his personnel choices are "better" than the what the data shows because he, in his head, is able to account for quality of opposition faced by each player . Where does Therrien hide his crystal ball that tells him that a player (who has half the success of another in the same situation), is the better choice at this particular moment. Here's an an analogy: two students over the course of the year have taken dozens of math exams, one has an average of 80% the other of 55%. The teacher must choose one of them to represent his school in a math competition. Which one would you recommend that he choose? regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Habs vs. Kings preview: L.A. fighting for a playoff spot (2015-03-05 12:45:42)
    repost: (Once again I was the last poster on the previous thread) ************************************************ Where is the Weise? Seeing as the team has basically been shutout in two consecutive games , is it time to change things up to try and create more offense? Pacioretty/DD/Gallagher as the top line NEEDS to be re-examined. Facts: 67/51/11 have played 213 shifts (minutes) at even strength. During that time the team has scored 11 goals. Their average is one goal every 19 shifts. 67/51/22 have played together 147 shifts , with the team scoring 13 goals, the average is one goal every 11 shifts. Of course, the usual suspects will say that I am a fool, the sample size is too small, Therrien is an experienced NHL coach and has access to tons more information than we do, Its much better to rely on his keen eye and superior judgement to make line up decisions than it is to make decisions based on performance metrics, and OBVIOUSLY his decisions are not to be questioned because the team is, after all, in first place. Then there will be the ones who will cite nonsense such as zone starts, and quality of opposition, whether the goals were scored by the forwards or the defense (as if it matters) and try anything to defend the indefensible. Just as they try to deny the FACT that Eller has been a more effective penalty killer ( 4 goals allowed in 71 minutes = avg. of 18 mins per PPGA, than Malhotra (14 goals allowed in 135 minutes = avg of one PPGA per 10 minutes) there will be a few posters trying to defend the decision to have Gallagher take Weise”s spot on the “top” line. Really though, is there any good way to justify an irrational, and illogical, decision? Does it not bother anyone else beside me that despite all the juggling, Therrien (almost) never comes up with the line combinations, and special teams alignments, that are most likely to succeed based on past performance metrics? regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on About last night … (POed, sleep-deprived, late-night west-coast edition. (2015-03-05 12:29:34)
    Where is the Weise? Seeing as the team has basically been shutout in two consecutive games , is it time to change things up to try and create more offense? Pacioretty/DD/Gallagher as the top line NEEDS to be re-examined. Facts: 67/51/11 have played 213 shifts (minutes) at even strength. During that time the team has scored 11 goals. Their average is one goal every 19 shifts. 67/51/22 have played together 147 shifts , with the team scoring 13 goals, the average is one goal every 11 shifts. Of course, the usual suspects will say that I am a fool, the sample size is too small, Therrien is an experienced NHL coach and has access to tons more information than we do, Its much better to rely on his keen eye and superior judgement to make line up decisions than it is to make decisions based on performance metrics, and OBVIOUSLY his decisions are not to be questioned because the team is, after all, in first place. Then there will be the ones who will cite nonsense such as zone starts, and quality of opposition, whether the goals were scored by the forwards or the defense (as if it matters) and try anything to defend the indefensible. Just as they try to deny the FACT that Eller has been a more effective penalty killer ( 4 goals allowed in 71 minutes = avg. of 18 mins per PPGA, than Malhotra (14 goals allowed in 135 minutes = avg of one PPGA per 10 minutes) there will be a few posters trying to defend the decision to have Gallagher take Weise"s spot on the "top" line. Really though, is there any good way to justify an irrational, and illogical, decision? Does it not bother anyone else beside me that despite all the juggling, Therrien (almost) never comes up with the line combinations, and special teams alignments, that are most likely to succeed based on past performance metrics? regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on About last night … (POed, sleep-deprived, late-night west-coast edition. (2015-03-05 11:33:11)
    I"m wondering who will sit out tonight. Im hoping that (at least) one of our older defensemen (Gonchar, Markov, Gilbert) get the night off tonight. Would be nice to give Markov a breather. Even if he does suits up, would it be so terrible if he plays with Gonchar (approx 15 minutes TOI ) and Beaulieu plays with Subban for one game ? Both he (Markov) and Subban would get a break that way as Subban would not have to retrieve every dump in(and take a hit each time) as he does when playing with Markov? This is the time of the season when the coaching staff should be looking at ways to ensure that their resources are "ready" for the playoffs. Having a losing west coast trip would not hurt as much if one or two players (besides Price) got a well deserved rest while doing so. Markov is too valuable to the team to allow him to run out of gas before the playoffs even begin. regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Canadiens vs. Ducks preview: Parenteau, Malhotra healthy scratches (2015-03-04 18:13:43)
    @ Innis: you wrote: One guy, the Coach, Michel Therrien, has all the facts at his disposal. and also What person critiques decisions on those two bases, expecting serious people to consider them seriously? A fool? Maybe, yes, a fool. ********************************************************** I guess I'm a fool then. I noted that last game both Eller and Mahotra played roughly the same minutes. The facts (data) shows that Eller has been more effective killing penalties (one GA every 18 minutes for Eller versus versus one GA every 10 minutes for Malhotra). The coach used Malhotra for killing penalties much ore than he used Eller last game and has done so consistently throughout the season. Is it foolish to question the coaches decision? Being a fan who would like to see his favorite team get to the Stanley Cup finals, is it wrong to be concerned that 2/3 of the way through the season the coach doesn"t know which penalty killers are most likely to prevent a goal being scored, or which Players are most likely to produce a goal on the PP? The facts are there for all to see. Are you implying that the coach has access to some "hidden" info that is more relevant than past performance? Would you prefer the coach play "hunches" or make decisions based on a players "body of work"? If questioning a coaches who plays hunches, rather than makes decisions based on facts makes me a fool, then so be it . When the coach uses the wrong players in key situations, even if the result is good , it does not take away from the fact that he made a poor decision. Regards, Steve O. regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Canadiens vs. Ducks preview: Parenteau, Malhotra healthy scratches (2015-03-04 16:28:00)
    oops ., Tori Hunter , Outfielder for the minnesota twins. I meant Tori Mitchell, regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Canadiens vs. Ducks preview: Parenteau, Malhotra healthy scratches (2015-03-04 16:09:59)
    Still trying to understand the logic. Eller is not good enough to play 3rd line center , but he is okay to play 2nd line winger? To succeed in the playoffs we will need 4 good lines., therefore four centermen from this list: How would you rank the habs centerman? My ranking: 1.Plekanec 2.Galchenyuk 3.Desharnais 4.Eller 5.De La rose 6.--Mitchell 7.Flynn 8.Malhotra regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Canadiens vs. Ducks preview: Parenteau, Malhotra healthy scratches (2015-03-03 16:33:31)
    Yes. Minus 24 can not be good. I prefer to look at the plus minus numbers in groups . or lines. for example: Last season (2103 -2014) after 20 games Eller , playing mostly with Galchenyuk and Gallagher was a plus 2 and DD ( playing mostly without Pacioretty) was minus 2, from game 21 and on: Desharnais played 595 minutes with Patches and Gallagher, the line was minus 2 Desahrnais also played 248 minutes with Patches and Vanek , that line was + 7. Eller did not play with Gallagher, Pacioretty , or Vanek. He (Eller) played with : Prust and Galchenyuk - 90 minutes ( -2) Prust and Bourque - 71 minutes ( even) Galchenyuk & Bourque 59 minutes (-1) galchenyuk and Briere - 55 minutes (-3) Bourque and Briere - 52 minutes (even) Galchenyuk and Gionta - 21 minutes (-1) as you can see, Comparing the plus minus of a player (Eller) that plays with different linemates every other game , with a player who plays steadily on the number one line with the teams two best wingers can lead to some erroneous conclusions. regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Canadiens vs. Ducks preview: Parenteau, Malhotra healthy scratches (2015-03-03 15:43:18)
    No, What I think is that the number of goals scored and allowed that have little , or nothing, to do with the player who gets the + or - will even out over time . There is no statistical reason (that I know of) to believe otherwise regards, Steve O.
  • Comment on Canadiens vs. Ducks preview: Parenteau, Malhotra healthy scratches (2015-03-03 15:39:56)
    Im with you on this one , Matty. Considering the ridiculously generous pensions that they get , plus the inevitable "perks" to their friends and family both while in, and after they are out of, office these guys are WAY overpaid. Further more there are far too many of them. As far as "pay for performance" goes considering the out of control debt they have run up, the terrible state of the infrastructure, the horrible waiting times at Hospitals emergencies, etc. etc. they should conside themselves lucky to get anything higher than minimum wage. regards, Steve O.